• Justneedtacos@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    China’s ambitions in re-acquiring Taiwan aren’t just political. There is also potentially huge economic gains there.

    • Svyatoy_Medved@alien.topB
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      10 months ago

      There are not. Chip manufacturing is extraordinarily delicate. You need incredibly precise machinery to operate in a vacuum with highly skilled workers. All three of these things react poorly to bombs.

      If a Chinese capture of Taiwan is strongly opposed by just the Taiwanese, not even the Americans, then it will take just as long to reactivate TSMC as it would to build a new Chinese manufacturing base from scratch. If not longer, given risks of insurgents, UXO, and devastated infrastructure.

    • rubywpnmaster@alien.topB
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      10 months ago

      China would be a dead state if they tried. The problem would be that the Chinese military is actually too weak to invade Taiwan. They could send a LOT of boats, yes. And the antiship missiles we’ve fed to Taiwan, and those they have produced would decimate that fleet and kill hundreds of thousands of Chinese soldiers. They’d be dealing with revolution at home, have a crippled navy, and be cut off from the international trade system as every approaching vessel is targetd from hundreds of miles away.

      Also, all those mega structures? The massive infrastructure expansion, the pipelines to Russia? Yeah those are nice targets. And all perfectly valid to destroy in a defensive war against an aggressor.

      Yes, Taiwan can reach Beijing with missiles powerful enough to level skyscrapers and factories alike.

      • ravenhawk10@alien.topB
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        10 months ago

        Taiwans Defence ministers talk about surviving more than two weeks and you talk about winning. Can’t tell if you’ve fallen for DPP brainrot or Chiang Kai Sheks retake the mainland propaganda.

    • Tobacco_Bhaji@alien.topB
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      10 months ago
      1. It’s not ‘re-acquiring’ Taiwan.
      2. Controlling the island would do absolutely zero for them other than greatly improve their coastal defense and shipping security.
      3. That shipping security is the real reason they want the island.
    • VikingBorealis@alien.topB
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      10 months ago

      How. The moment they try and get close to a what is essentially an impossible landfall. The foundries to boom. It’s part of the defense strategy.

      • dotjzzz@alien.topB
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        10 months ago

        And losing TSMC will have little impact to China in the coming years because the US already cut them off.

        China has nothing to lose so why let you enjoy your AI chips?

    • sargonas@alien.topB
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      10 months ago

      Dunno, I recall reading some detailed report about a “gentleman’s agreement” the US military has with Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing companies, where if China is on the verge of taking the island, we would tactically bomb all foundries immediately. In return, the US will foot the bill to rebuild their companies manufacturing infrastructure elsewhere immediately after.

      • RoboTronPrime@alien.topB
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        10 months ago

        Then there’s the CHIPS Act which included, among other things, a ton of money invested into Intel to basically re-shore US competitiveness in semiconductors. It’s clearly a strategic vulnerability for so much of the worldwide capacity to be concentrated in this little island way closer to global rivals than in domestic territory.

      • dotjzzz@alien.topB
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        10 months ago

        And you think losing TSMC isn’t a benefit to China because China also have equal access?

        rebuild their companies manufacturing infrastructure elsewhere immediately after.

        How is Arizona going? Well? Production in 3 months? 6 months?

        • Real_Jackraps@alien.topB
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          10 months ago

          I’m not sure what you’re trying to say. The technology is not available elsewhere. Even if it took a full year to get production back, the technology and institutional knowledge is still a decade or two ahead. They literally can’t compete, that’s why a block is effective in the first place.