Does Intel have the clout in 2024 to force laptop manufacturers to the new standard or will they shrug and say they don’t need a Thunderbolt 5 sticker on those laptops then?

I don’t think Intel’s position is nearly strong enough for that and I don’t think enough consumers care about Thunderbolt (or even know what it means) so sticker or lack of it would make impact on sales.

I fully believe US will want to put next generation of NV GPUs on ban list from the start.

Otherwise you can expect Nvidia to reserve full stock for China in first months fearing they will get banned soon.

Nah, it’s a common sense. Too bad many people are lacking it and will happily pay 200% or 300% of MSRP, because they must have newest and shiniest stuff.